The Indian Meteorology Department (IMD) in its climate bulletin issued on October 1 stated that a low stress location is probably to create more than southeast Arabian Sea about October six. “It is likely to intensify into a depression and move northwestwards during the subsequent 48 hours. Fishermen are advised not to venture into southeast and central Arabian Sea from October 7 onwards. Fishermen at deep sea areas of southeast and central Arabian Sea are advised to return to coast before October 7,” IMD stated.
According to Jason Nicholls, senior meteorologist at AccuWeather, the low stress close to Diego Garcia (an atoll just south of the equator in the central Indian Ocean ) is searching significantly less probably to turn out to be a cyclone. “But still watching for a cyclone to develop over the Arabian Sea this weekend or early next week. Exact path still unclear but the main area of concern looks to be the South Arabian Peninsula to Pakistan and India.”
In its bulletin, AccuWeather stated, “Latest satellite imagery shows a poorly organised system, though there is flaring convection around the centre of the system. Sea-surface temperatures are warm but the wind shear from the north is keeping this from developing.”
Information Source: Muscat Daily