PACA’s National Multi Hazard Early Warning Centre on Saturday observed the formation of tropical depression southeast of the Arabian Sea with maximum typical wind speed from 17 to 27 knots (31-50km/hr) and situated at latitude 67.5E and longitude 11.7N, about 1,550km from Omani coasts.
“Latest numerical predictions indicate movement of the system towards the west-northwest direction with a probability of further intensification into a deep depression and later into a tropical storm within the next 48 hours. There would be no impact on the coastal areas of Oman within the next three days,” the centre stated.
Meanwhile, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) mentioned that there is a nicely-marked low stress location more than southeast and adjoining east-central Arabian Sea. “It has concentrated into a depression and lay centred at 1430 hrs Indian Standard Time (1pm in Oman) on October 6, over southeast and adjoining east-central Arabian Sea near Lat 11.2°N and Long 67.0°E. This is about 730km west northwest of Minicoy (Lakshadweep Islands), 1,400km east-southeast of Socotra Island and 1,500km southeast of Salalah (Oman).”
IMD mentioned that this is really probably to intensify into a cyclonic storm in the subsequent 24 hours and move towards south Oman and adjoining Yemen coast in the course of the subsequent 5 days.
“Fishermen are advised not to venture into south Arabian Sea during the next 48 hours and over central Arabian Sea during the next five days,” IMD stated.
Information Source: Muscat Daily